Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 109 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.032 to 16.30.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.30 (−0.032)
- In: 16.33
- Rank by index
- 5
- In: 5
- Domains at Tier 1
- 3
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 1,349
- In: 1,199
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.08 | 16.01 | −0.070 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.32 | 16.13 | −0.191 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.47 | 14.44 | −0.040 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.08 | 18.18 | +0.092 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.38 | 16.47 | +0.097 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.84 | 15.74 | −0.099 | 4 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 16.12 | 16.02 | −0.103 | 4 → 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.69 | 16.66 | −0.028 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.96 | 17.02 | +0.054 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,025, plus 1,199 carried in. Maintenance 722. Spent 152 on actions (build 61, partner 91). 1,349 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection30 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity30 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence30 credits for 1.87 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −10.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 4 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +1.37 | +1.70 | 0.00 | −0.33 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.75 | +0.94 | 0.00 | −0.19 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.69 | +0.87 | 0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.67 | +0.82 | 0.00 | −0.15 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.41 | +0.51 | 0.00 | −0.09 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.40 | +0.50 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |