Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 109 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.037 to 16.34.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.34 (−0.037)
- In: 16.37
- Rank by index
- 5
- In: 4
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 5
- Credits carried
- 1,695
- In: 1,568
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.45 | 16.33 | −0.122 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.51 | 15.52 | +0.005 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.21 | 14.15 | −0.052 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.09 | 18.14 | +0.053 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.74 | 16.78 | +0.036 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.58 | 15.66 | +0.086 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 15.97 | 15.88 | −0.092 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.53 | 16.39 | −0.139 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.27 | 18.16 | −0.112 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,068, plus 1,568 carried in. Maintenance 781. Spent 160 on actions (build 128, partner 32). 1,695 carried over.
- BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls32 credits for 1.25 levelsmctsahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
- PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication32 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPopulation Health32 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFinancial Infrastructure32 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption32 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −21.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.76 | +0.87 | 0.00 | −0.11 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.54 | +0.70 | 0.00 | −0.13 | −0.03 |
| Government Effectiveness & Public Administration | +0.39 | +0.42 | 0.00 | −0.05 | +0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | −0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.26 | −0.08 |
| Financial Infrastructure | +0.31 | +0.40 | 0.00 | −0.05 | −0.03 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.27 | 0.00 |