Round 2019
Round 23 of 30 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index +0.062 to 14.91.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2019 (the end of 2018) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 14.91 (+0.061)
- In: 14.85
- Rank by index
- 12
- In: 12
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 934
- In: 909
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 13.70 | 13.81 | +0.108 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.46 | 14.51 | +0.043 | 3 |
| National Security | 12.86 | 12.86 | +0.007 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.70 | 17.70 | −0.002 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.45 | 15.78 | +0.337 | 3 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 13.94 | 13.96 | +0.029 | 7 |
| Financial Strength | 13.46 | 13.39 | −0.070 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.08 | 15.02 | −0.062 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.01 | 17.17 | +0.165 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2019: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 751, plus 909 carried in. Maintenance 614. Spent 112 on actions (buy 22, partner 90). 934 carried over.
- BuyArtificial Intelligence22 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy22 credits for 1.36 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
- PartnerSpace Technologies22 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication22 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 1 per cent
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics22 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 1 per cent
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −12.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.27 | +1.34 | 0.00 | −0.07 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +1.21 | +1.26 | 0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.64 | +0.68 | 0.00 | −0.07 | +0.02 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.62 | +0.68 | 0.00 | −0.06 | +0.01 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | +0.53 | +0.54 | 0.00 | −0.03 | +0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.49 | +0.63 | 0.00 | −0.15 | +0.01 |