Round 24 · simulation 1 · mcts-m7.m7-kor-mcts-index

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.265 to 14.65.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
14.65 (−0.265)
In: 14.91
Rank by index
13
In: 12
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
812
In: 887
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology13.8113.65−0.1562
Strategic Infrastructure14.5114.31−0.1953
National Security12.8612.69−0.1753
Human Capital17.7017.41−0.2871
Information & Influence15.7815.40−0.3842 → 3
Governance & Integrity13.9613.75−0.2157
Financial Strength13.3913.19−0.1961
Production & Innovation15.0214.55−0.4632
Trade & Investment17.1716.86−0.3152

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 660, plus 887 carried in. Maintenance 623. Spent 113 on actions (buy 68, partner 45). 812 carried over.

  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies23 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Biotechnology & Health Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence23 credits for 1.36 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 1 per cent
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power23 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 1 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation23 credits for 1.40 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Financial Regulation & Integrity by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFinancial Regulation & Integrity23 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −23.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.97+1.400.00−0.43+0.01
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+0.83+1.310.00−0.49+0.02
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.790.000.00−0.81+0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.790.000.00−0.79+0.01
Labour & Employment−0.760.000.00−0.760.00
Trade Policy & Market Access−0.550.000.00−0.59+0.04