Round 3 · simulation 3 · stress-preview.e5-gbr-s01-hold

Round 2029

Round 3 of 10 in simulation 3 of United Kingdom, hold, 10 years: 0 actions, Breadbasket failure and Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.339 to 16.11.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.11 (−0.339)
In: 16.45
Rank by index
5
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 2
Credits carried
1,120
In: 727
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1615.85−0.3193
Strategic Infrastructure16.0315.72−0.3102
National Security16.2816.10−0.1852 → 3
Human Capital16.1815.97−0.2072
Information & Influence17.1516.73−0.4202
Governance & Integrity16.4816.26−0.2141
Financial Strength17.3616.91−0.4452
Production & Innovation15.9215.54−0.3801 → 2
Trade & Investment16.5415.96−0.5723

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,094, plus 727 carried in. Maintenance 702. Nothing spent on actions. 1,120 carried over.

  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −12.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −33.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 2 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.720.000.00−0.720.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.710.000.00−0.710.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.640.000.00−0.640.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.640.000.00−0.640.00
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.640.000.00−0.640.00
Global Value Chain Position−0.630.000.00−0.630.00