Round 4 · simulation 3 · stress-preview.e5-gbr-s01-hold

Round 2030

Round 4 of 10 in simulation 3 of United Kingdom, hold, 10 years: 0 actions, and the index −0.169 to 15.95.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index: 15.95 (−0.169); In: 16.11
Rank by index: 6; In: 5
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 1
Credits carried: 1,357; In: 1,064

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	15.85	15.63	−0.220	3
Strategic Infrastructure	15.72	15.63	−0.082	2
National Security	16.10	16.01	−0.090	3
Human Capital	15.97	15.91	−0.057	2
Information & Influence	16.73	16.52	−0.208	2
Governance & Integrity	16.26	16.16	−0.099	1 → 4
Financial Strength	16.91	16.69	−0.225	2 → 3
Production & Innovation	15.54	15.34	−0.202	2 → 3
Trade & Investment	15.96	15.63	−0.339	3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 945, plus 1,064 carried in. Maintenance 652. Nothing spent on actions. 1,357 carried over.

Earlier events still landing: −11.3 points this round.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 1 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Events	Graph
Economic Leverage & Dependence	−0.45	−0.42	−0.04
Global Value Chain Position	−0.45	−0.41	−0.04
Export Capability & Sophistication	−0.42	−0.41	−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access	−0.42	−0.41	−0.01
Monetary & Currency Capability	−0.39	−0.34	−0.04
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing	−0.35	−0.35	0.00