Round 3 · simulation 77 · stress-preview.e5-gbr-s01-hold

Round 2029

Round 3 of 10 in simulation 77 of United Kingdom, hold, 10 years: 0 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.163 to 16.29.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.29 (−0.163)
In: 16.45
Rank by index
4
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
1,120
In: 727
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1615.95−0.2203
Strategic Infrastructure16.0315.95−0.0822
National Security16.2816.19−0.0902 → 3
Human Capital16.1816.12−0.0572
Information & Influence17.1516.95−0.2032
Governance & Integrity16.4816.38−0.0971
Financial Strength17.3617.16−0.2012
Production & Innovation15.9215.72−0.1971
Trade & Investment16.5416.21−0.3233

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,094, plus 727 carried in. Maintenance 702. Nothing spent on actions. 1,120 carried over.

  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −33.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.420.000.00−0.420.00
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.410.000.00−0.410.00
Global Value Chain Position−0.410.000.00−0.410.00
Trade Policy & Market Access−0.410.000.00−0.410.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing−0.350.000.00−0.350.00
Industrial & Sectoral Base−0.350.000.00−0.350.00