Round 2030
Round 4 of 10 in simulation 100 of United Kingdom, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, Clean power threshold, and the index +0.204 to 16.47.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.47 (+0.204)
- In: 16.26
- Rank by index
- 3
- In: 4
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 902
- In: 662
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.93 | 16.00 | +0.070 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.78 | 15.86 | +0.077 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.28 | 16.28 | 0.000 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 17.29 | 17.92 | +0.630 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.89 | 16.91 | +0.023 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.21 | 16.28 | +0.077 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 16.37 | 16.48 | +0.107 | 3 → 4 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.63 | 15.86 | +0.223 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 15.96 | 16.59 | +0.630 | 3 → 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,083, plus 662 carried in. Maintenance 673. Spent 169 on actions (build 34, partner 135). 902 carried over.
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity34 credits for 1.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 4 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication34 credits for 2.11 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 2 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection34 credits for 2.01 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 1 per cent
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position34 credits for 2.06 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance34 credits for 1.03 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 2 per cent
- Upside event: Clean power threshold S15. +16.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 3 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.67 | +1.64 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.66 | +1.58 | 0.00 | +0.07 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.12 | +1.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.06 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +1.10 | +1.05 | 0.00 | +0.06 | −0.02 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +1.08 | +1.03 | 0.00 | +0.06 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.04 | +0.98 | 0.00 | +0.06 | −0.01 |