Round 3 · simulation 100 · stress-preview.e5-gbr-s02-greedy

Round 2029

Round 3 of 10 in simulation 100 of United Kingdom, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.323 to 16.26.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.26 (−0.323)
In: 16.59
Rank by index
4
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 3
Credits carried
697
In: 453
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1915.93−0.2573
Strategic Infrastructure16.0615.78−0.2722
National Security16.2816.280.0002
Human Capital16.8917.29+0.4061
Information & Influence17.1616.89−0.2722
Governance & Integrity16.5016.21−0.2991
Financial Strength17.3716.37−0.9962 → 3
Production & Innovation16.2615.63−0.6261 → 2
Trade & Investment16.5615.96−0.5933

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,128, plus 453 carried in. Maintenance 715. Spent 169 on actions (build 135, partner 34). 697 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills34 credits for 2.40 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 7 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling34 credits for 2.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 15 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education34 credits for 1.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 3 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access34 credits for 1.97 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 4 per cent
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity34 credits for 1.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 5 per cent
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −27.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.47+1.640.00−0.160.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.43+1.580.00−0.150.00
Investment Attraction & Projection−1.280.000.00−1.290.00
Labour & Employment−1.100.000.00−1.100.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.090.000.00−1.090.00
Financial System Depth & Access−1.080.000.00−1.080.00