Round 2031
Round 5 of 10 in simulation 41 of United Kingdom, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.182 to 16.19.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.19 (−0.182)
- In: 16.38
- Rank by index
- 5
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 1,004
- In: 785
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.89 | 15.68 | −0.214 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.74 | 15.25 | −0.489 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.28 | 15.77 | −0.519 | 2 → 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.84 | 18.08 | +0.241 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.86 | 16.66 | −0.202 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.16 | 15.92 | −0.243 | 1 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 16.39 | 16.13 | −0.257 | 4 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.73 | 15.54 | −0.190 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.48 | 16.72 | +0.235 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,076, plus 785 carried in. Maintenance 700. Spent 157 on actions (build 32, partner 126). 1,004 carried over.
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity32 credits for 1.33 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 3 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence32 credits for 2.02 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 2 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance32 credits for 0.93 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication32 credits for 1.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection32 credits for 1.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 2 per cent
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −25.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. National Security Tier 2 to 3; Governance & Integrity Tier 1 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +1.43 | +1.95 | 0.00 | −0.46 | −0.07 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +1.38 | +1.81 | 0.00 | −0.45 | +0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.05 | +1.42 | 0.00 | −0.36 | −0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.89 | −0.01 |
| Foundational Education | +0.87 | +0.98 | 0.00 | −0.11 | 0.00 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.81 | 0.00 |