Round 2032
Round 6 of 10 in simulation 36 of South Korea, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index +0.049 to 16.11.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.11 (+0.049)
- In: 16.06
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 959
- In: 776
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.02 | 15.93 | −0.082 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.93 | 15.88 | −0.046 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.33 | 14.33 | −0.002 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.10 | 18.16 | +0.051 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.28 | 16.32 | +0.045 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.54 | 15.48 | −0.059 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 15.44 | 15.50 | +0.053 | 5 → 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.22 | 16.31 | +0.091 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.67 | 17.07 | +0.395 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,023, plus 776 carried in. Maintenance 690. Spent 150 on actions (build 30, partner 120). 959 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 3 per cent
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity30 credits for 1.12 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication30 credits for 1.70 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 1 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence30 credits for 1.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & Services Trade by 0 per cent
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade30 credits for 1.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −15.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.72 | +1.84 | 0.00 | −0.10 | −0.02 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.16 | +1.25 | 0.00 | −0.08 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.76 | +0.87 | 0.00 | −0.17 | +0.06 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.73 | +0.85 | 0.00 | −0.10 | −0.02 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.73 | +0.81 | 0.00 | −0.09 | +0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.71 | +0.91 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 |