Random
Five actions a round, each a random open group and mode and a random chunk of income.
How it decides
Draws its actions from its own random stream, so its draws do not disturb the scenario's: every method faces the same shocks for the same seed.
- random_draw
- drawn at random
What it is for. The floor: any method that is not clearly above random is not using the model.
Its experiments
Every experiment that used the method: the capability index at the position and the median at the horizon across its simulations.
| Experiment | Cycle | Simulations | Index |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Kingdom, random, 20 years cycle-001.e3-gbr-random | 1 | 100 | 16.45 → 17.39 (+0.93) |
| South Korea, random, 20 years cycle-001.e3-kor-random | 1 | 100 | 16.00 → 16.94 (+0.93) |
| Estonia, random, 20 years cycle-001.e3-est-random | 1 | 100 | 11.49 → 11.32 (−0.17) |
| Brazil, random, 20 years cycle-001.e3-bra-random | 1 | 100 | 11.69 → 12.04 (+0.35) |
| Kenya, random, 20 years cycle-001.e3-ken-random | 1 | 100 | 7.18 → 6.76 (−0.42) |