Round 13 · simulation 1 · cmaes-c1.c1-kor-cmaes-allocation

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.451 to 16.22.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.22 (−0.451)
In: 16.67
Rank by index
6
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 5
Credits carried
1,293
In: 1,158
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.2015.86−0.3342
Strategic Infrastructure16.0715.44−0.6272 → 3
National Security13.6012.82−0.7823
Human Capital18.8418.70−0.1331
Information & Influence16.9416.75−0.1941
Governance & Integrity16.8016.86+0.0541
Financial Strength16.5815.81−0.7652 → 5
Production & Innovation16.8816.57−0.3071
Trade & Investment18.1317.16−0.9681 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,079, plus 1,158 carried in. Maintenance 779. Spent 166 on actions (build 132, partner 33). 1,293 carried over.

  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy33 credits for 1.63 levelscmaes
  • BuildLabour & Employment33 credits for 1.56 levelscmaes
  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability33 credits for 1.23 levelscmaes
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base33 credits for 1.40 levelscmaes
  • BuildResource Infrastructure33 credits for 1.52 levelscmaes
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −40.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.560.000.00−1.54−0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.460.000.00−1.47+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.320.000.00−1.27−0.04
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−1.300.000.00−1.310.00
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−1.290.000.00−1.290.00
Maritime Power−1.290.000.00−1.290.00