Round 14 · simulation 1 · cmaes-c1.c1-kor-cmaes-allocation

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.176 to 16.40.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.40 (+0.176)
In: 16.22
Rank by index
4
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 4
Credits carried
1,432
In: 1,228
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.8615.94+0.0782
Strategic Infrastructure15.4415.67+0.2233 → 2
National Security12.8212.81−0.0073
Human Capital18.7018.77+0.0661
Information & Influence16.7516.89+0.1421
Governance & Integrity16.8617.28+0.4171
Financial Strength15.8116.14+0.3295 → 4
Production & Innovation16.5716.89+0.3221
Trade & Investment17.1617.17+0.0112

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,041, plus 1,228 carried in. Maintenance 676. Spent 162 on actions (build 97, buy 65). 1,432 carried over.

  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power32 credits for 1.60 levelscmaes
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure32 credits for 1.19 levelscmaes
  • BuildFinancial Regulation & Integrity32 credits for 1.28 levelscmaes
  • BuildBusiness Dynamism & Entrepreneurship32 credits for 1.56 levelscmaes
  • BuildBiotechnology & Health Technologies32 credits for 1.10 levelscmaes
  • Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +14.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 3 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+1.58+1.600.00+0.02−0.04
Resource Infrastructure+1.19+1.160.00+0.04−0.01
Transparency, Oversight & Accountability+1.06+1.020.00+0.040.00
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.97+0.940.00+0.04−0.02
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.84+0.810.00+0.020.00
Political Institutions & Civic Participation+0.82+0.760.00+0.04+0.02