Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, Market access opening, and the index +0.210 to 16.30.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.30 (+0.210)
- In: 16.09
- Rank by index
- 5
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 3
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 801
- In: 618
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.60 | 15.65 | +0.048 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.10 | 16.19 | +0.096 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.41 | −0.001 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.88 | 18.10 | +0.223 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.42 | 16.85 | +0.431 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.62 | 15.72 | +0.100 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 16.09 | 16.20 | +0.111 | 3 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.18 | 16.37 | +0.196 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.57 | 17.26 | +0.688 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,025, plus 618 carried in. Maintenance 709. Spent 134 on actions (build 27, buy 27, partner 80). 801 carried over.
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance27 credits for 1.58 levelscmaes
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection27 credits for 1.48 levelscmaes
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity27 credits for 1.15 levelscmaes
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication27 credits for 1.52 levelscmaes
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence27 credits for 1.63 levelscmaes
- Upside event: Market access opening S12. +15.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.72 | +1.66 | 0.00 | +0.08 | −0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +1.71 | +1.53 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.01 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.63 | +1.58 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.84 | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.08 | −0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.82 | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.08 | −0.02 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.79 | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.01 |