Round 5 · simulation 3 · cmaes-c1.c1-kor-cmaes-allocation

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.007 to 16.09.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.09 (+0.007)
In: 16.09
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
650
In: 583
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.7615.60−0.1563
Strategic Infrastructure16.1716.10−0.0762
National Security14.4114.41−0.0013
Human Capital17.6817.88+0.1991
Information & Influence16.1816.42+0.2461
Governance & Integrity15.7315.62−0.1075
Financial Strength16.0416.09+0.0502 → 3
Production & Innovation16.2916.18−0.1142
Trade & Investment16.5516.57+0.0232

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 890, plus 583 carried in. Maintenance 690. Spent 133 on actions (build 27, partner 107). 650 carried over.

  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks27 credits for 1.48 levelscmaes
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity27 credits for 1.17 levelscmaes
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection27 credits for 1.59 levelscmaes
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence27 credits for 1.70 levelscmaes
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance27 credits for 0.81 levelscmaes

Earlier events still landing: −9.2 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.46+1.630.00−0.160.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.90+0.990.00−0.100.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.81+0.970.00−0.150.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.65+0.850.00−0.18−0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.61+0.790.00−0.180.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.54+0.870.00−0.31−0.02