Round 5 · simulation 4 · cmaes-c1.c1-kor-cmaes-allocation

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 4 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.119 to 16.48.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.48 (+0.119)
In: 16.36
Rank by index
3
In: 5
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 5
Credits carried
754
In: 706
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0315.99−0.0413
Strategic Infrastructure16.3916.47+0.0731
National Security14.4114.42+0.0053
Human Capital17.8918.15+0.2591
Information & Influence16.4816.83+0.3461
Governance & Integrity15.8915.93+0.0443
Financial Strength16.4216.47+0.0542 → 1
Production & Innovation16.7716.82+0.0511
Trade & Investment16.9817.26+0.2801

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 940, plus 706 carried in. Maintenance 738. Spent 154 on actions (build 31, partner 124). 754 carried over.

  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection31 credits for 1.73 levelscmaes
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.67 levelscmaes
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.66 levelscmaes
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity31 credits for 1.31 levelscmaes
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence31 credits for 1.90 levelscmaes

Earlier events still landing: −0.2 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.67+1.720.00−0.050.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.11+0.990.00+0.110.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.94+0.870.00+0.06+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.93+0.950.00−0.020.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.68+0.920.00−0.050.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.55+0.690.00−0.140.00