Round 2 · simulation 5 · cmaes-c1.c1-kor-cmaes-domain

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 5 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.072 to 15.98.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.98 (−0.071)
In: 16.05
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
388
In: 190
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0815.99−0.0972 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure16.3516.17−0.1852
National Security14.4114.38−0.0253
Human Capital16.6916.77+0.0791
Information & Influence15.7015.68−0.0152
Governance & Integrity15.8815.80−0.0784 → 5
Financial Strength16.0716.17+0.0955
Production & Innovation16.6316.45−0.1771
Trade & Investment16.6816.43−0.2422

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,014, plus 190 carried in. Maintenance 665. Spent 152 on actions (build 30, buy 91, partner 30). 388 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.53 levelscmaes
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation30 credits for 0.98 levelscmaes
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.91 levelscmaes
  • BuyCyber & Electromagnetic Operations30 credits for 1.24 levelscmaes
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power30 credits for 1.58 levelscmaes
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −12.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+1.39+1.580.00−0.190.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.03+1.220.00−0.190.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.92+1.040.00−0.120.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.86+0.980.00−0.120.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations+0.53+0.620.00−0.090.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.420.000.00−0.420.00