Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 5 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, Middle East settlement, and the index +0.156 to 16.14.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.14 (+0.155)
- In: 15.98
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 570
- In: 368
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.99 | 15.99 | +0.008 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.17 | 16.31 | +0.141 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.38 | 14.54 | +0.152 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 16.77 | 16.97 | +0.202 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.68 | 16.05 | +0.364 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.80 | 15.95 | +0.149 | 5 → 3 |
| Financial Strength | 16.17 | 16.33 | +0.159 | 5 → 4 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.45 | 16.49 | +0.037 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.43 | 16.63 | +0.190 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,011, plus 368 carried in. Maintenance 658. Spent 152 on actions (build 91, partner 61). 570 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.08 levelscmaes
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access30 credits for 2.09 levelscmaes
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.79 levelscmaes
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.87 levelscmaes
- BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance30 credits for 1.93 levelscmaes
- Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +14.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.49 | +1.45 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.08 | +1.04 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +1.05 | +0.89 | 0.00 | +0.16 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.76 | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.02 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.73 | +0.65 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | +0.70 | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 |