Round 4 · simulation 5 · cmaes-c1.c1-kor-cmaes-domain

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 5 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.203 to 16.34.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.34 (+0.203)
In: 16.14
Rank by index
5
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 2
Credits carried
768
In: 541
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9916.00+0.0053
Strategic Infrastructure16.3116.45+0.1392
National Security14.5414.62+0.0893
Human Capital16.9717.23+0.2551
Information & Influence16.0516.87+0.8202 → 1
Governance & Integrity15.9516.09+0.1433 → 1
Financial Strength16.3316.48+0.1544 → 1
Production & Innovation16.4916.52+0.0331
Trade & Investment16.6316.82+0.1902 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,056, plus 541 carried in. Maintenance 677. Spent 152 on actions (build 61, buy 30, partner 61). 768 carried over.

  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance30 credits for 1.90 levelscmaes
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.66 levelscmaes
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling30 credits for 2.49 levelscmaes
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.73 levelscmaes
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights30 credits for 1.22 levelscmaes

Earlier events still landing: +4.7 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 4 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+2.65+2.550.00+0.08+0.02
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.88+1.730.00+0.160.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.49+1.450.00+0.040.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.08+1.040.00+0.040.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.70+0.660.00+0.040.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.54+0.500.00+0.040.00