Round 16 · simulation 5 · cmaes-c1.c1-kor-cmaes-domain

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 5 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 0 actions, Middle East settlement, and the index +0.143 to 18.44.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
18.44 (+0.143)
In: 18.30
Rank by index
1
In: 1
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 7
Credits carried
0
In: 372
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology17.7617.84+0.0752
Strategic Infrastructure18.2918.51+0.2251
National Security15.3015.41+0.1152
Human Capital19.1119.21+0.1061
Information & Influence18.9519.04+0.0981
Governance & Integrity18.4418.68+0.2371
Financial Strength18.6518.82+0.1731
Production & Innovation18.9919.19+0.1951
Trade & Investment19.2319.30+0.0671

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,138, plus 372 carried in. Maintenance 1,510 of the 1,553 needed, so 3 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over.

  • Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +17.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Financial Stability & Crisis Management+0.82+0.78−0.01+0.050.00
Resource Infrastructure+0.75+0.65−0.01+0.10+0.01
Justice System & Fundamental Rights+0.68+0.470.00+0.19+0.02
Space Technologies+0.65+0.64−0.020.00+0.03
Structural Transformation & Complexity+0.55+0.45−0.01+0.05+0.07
Population Health+0.47+0.41−0.01+0.05+0.02