Round 7 · simulation 1 · cmaes-c1.c1-kor-cmaes-rule

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.045 to 16.43.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.43 (−0.045)
In: 16.47
Rank by index
4
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 5
Credits carried
1,243
In: 1,055
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0915.95−0.1432 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure16.3816.10−0.2741 → 2
National Security14.4314.10−0.3313
Human Capital17.0317.26+0.2231
Information & Influence16.3616.41+0.0462 → 1
Governance & Integrity17.6717.79+0.1171
Financial Strength16.7816.88+0.1011
Production & Innovation16.8216.83+0.0041
Trade & Investment16.6916.54−0.1522

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,073, plus 1,055 carried in. Maintenance 727. Spent 159 on actions (build 159). 1,243 carried over.

  • BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation32 credits for 1.29 levelscmaes
  • BuildDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks32 credits for 1.64 levelscmaes
  • BuildFinancial Regulation & Integrity32 credits for 1.34 levelscmaes
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling32 credits for 2.37 levelscmaes
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption32 credits for 0.93 levelscmaes
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −13.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.09+1.330.00−0.26+0.02
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.82+1.090.00−0.27+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+0.72+0.840.00−0.13+0.01
Political Institutions & Civic Participation+0.57+0.680.00−0.12+0.01
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.560.000.00−0.560.00