Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.219 to 16.68.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.68 (−0.220)
- In: 16.90
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 6
- In: 6
- Credits carried
- 1,627
- In: 1,534
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.95 | 15.75 | −0.202 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.19 | 15.77 | −0.426 | 1 → 2 |
| National Security | 14.12 | 13.61 | −0.513 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.17 | 18.21 | +0.049 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.23 | 17.29 | +0.060 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 18.73 | 18.76 | +0.034 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 18.00 | 17.69 | −0.315 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.93 | 16.70 | −0.229 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.75 | 16.31 | −0.434 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,098, plus 1,534 carried in. Maintenance 841. Spent 164 on actions (build 131, partner 33). 1,627 carried over.
- BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management33 credits for 1.18 levelscmaes
- PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication33 credits for 1.72 levelscmaes
- BuildLabour & Employment33 credits for 1.60 levelscmaes
- BuildFinancial Infrastructure33 credits for 1.75 levelscmaes
- BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base33 credits for 1.42 levelscmaes
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −26.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +1.24 | +1.41 | 0.00 | −0.20 | +0.03 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.96 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.94 | +0.01 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.84 | 0.00 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.83 | −0.01 |
| Maritime Power | −0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.83 | 0.00 |