Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.156 to 16.47.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.47 (+0.157)
- In: 16.31
- Rank by index
- 3
- In: 5
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 1,748
- In: 1,586
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.45 | 15.51 | +0.068 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.09 | 15.20 | +0.108 | 3 → 2 |
| National Security | 12.83 | 12.83 | −0.006 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.21 | 18.35 | +0.147 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.36 | 17.59 | +0.227 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 18.63 | 18.84 | +0.207 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.35 | 17.53 | +0.178 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.50 | 16.77 | +0.278 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 15.40 | 15.60 | +0.201 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,049, plus 1,586 carried in. Maintenance 725. Spent 162 on actions (build 129, partner 32). 1,748 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance32 credits for 0.72 levelscmaes
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence32 credits for 2.34 levelscmaes
- BuildBusiness Dynamism & Entrepreneurship32 credits for 1.61 levelscmaes
- BuildCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy32 credits for 1.59 levelscmaes
- BuildFinancial Stability & Crisis Management32 credits for 1.25 levelscmaes
- Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +14.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.19 | +1.17 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.02 |
| Financial Stability & Crisis Management | +0.83 | +0.84 | 0.00 | +0.02 | −0.04 |
| National Resilience & Crisis Management | +0.79 | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.76 | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 |
| Business Dynamism & Entrepreneurship | +0.61 | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 |
| Advanced Education | +0.59 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.01 |