Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 4 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock and Market access opening, and the index +0.070 to 16.20.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.20 (+0.071)
- In: 16.13
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 774
- In: 559
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.08 | 16.03 | −0.053 | 2 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.32 | 16.39 | +0.072 | 2 → 1 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.41 | +0.003 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 16.82 | 17.00 | +0.171 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.50 | 15.44 | −0.059 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.34 | 16.72 | +0.385 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 16.36 | 16.43 | +0.061 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.63 | 16.68 | +0.046 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.68 | 16.69 | +0.012 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,043, plus 559 carried in. Maintenance 675. Spent 154 on actions (build 154). 774 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.49 levelscmaes
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity31 credits for 1.31 levelscmaes
- BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation31 credits for 1.15 levelscmaes
- BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption31 credits for 1.25 levelscmaes
- BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability31 credits for 1.18 levelscmaes
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −16.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Upside event: Market access opening S12. +15.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.50 | +1.44 | 0.00 | +0.12 | 0.00 |
| Justice System & Fundamental Rights | +0.76 | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls | +0.75 | +0.66 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.56 | +0.69 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Transparency, Oversight & Accountability | +0.51 | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Government Effectiveness & Public Administration | +0.44 | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 |