Round 1 · simulation 2 · cmaes-dev.dev-est-cmaes-receding

Round 2027

Round 1 of 4 in simulation 2 of Estonia, evolution strategy, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.047 to 11.53.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.53 (+0.047)
In: 11.49
Rank by index
32
In: 33
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
67
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.006.12+0.1197
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.860.0005
National Security7.547.540.0006
Human Capital14.5614.560.0003
Information & Influence10.4810.79+0.3036
Governance & Integrity15.4615.460.0003
Financial Strength13.0813.080.0009
Production & Innovation12.8112.810.0005
Trade & Investment12.6012.600.0006

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2027: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 390. Maintenance 265. Spent 58 on actions (build 12, buy 12, partner 35). 67 carried over.

  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation12 credits for 1.18 levelscmaes
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks12 credits for 0.95 levelscmaes
  • BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 1.04 levelscmaes
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication12 credits for 0.82 levelscmaes
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.19 levelscmaes
The groups that moved most in 2027, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.19+1.190.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.47+0.470.000.000.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.41+0.410.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.35+0.350.000.000.00