Round 2028
Round 2 of 4 in simulation 2 of Estonia, evolution strategy, 4 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.220 to 11.31.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.31 (−0.220)
- In: 11.53
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 129
- In: 64
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.12 | 6.00 | −0.123 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.86 | 10.46 | −0.398 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.54 | 7.41 | −0.131 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.56 | 14.28 | −0.273 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.79 | 11.22 | +0.431 | 6 → 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.25 | −0.212 | 3 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 13.08 | 12.61 | −0.466 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.81 | 12.47 | −0.341 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.60 | 12.13 | −0.469 | 6 → 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 390, plus 64 carried in. Maintenance 267. Spent 58 on actions (buy 12, partner 46). 129 carried over.
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 1.23 levelscmaes
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation12 credits for 1.13 levelscmaes
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks12 credits for 0.92 levelscmaes
- PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy12 credits for 1.03 levelscmaes
- PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication11 credits for 0.79 levelscmaes
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −21.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.29 | +1.58 | 0.00 | −0.29 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.82 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.80 | +1.15 | 0.00 | −0.35 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.69 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.69 | 0.00 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.66 | 0.00 |