Round 4 · simulation 2 · cmaes-dev.dev-est-cmaes-receding

Round 2030

Round 4 of 4 in simulation 2 of Estonia, evolution strategy, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.097 to 11.51.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.51 (+0.098)
In: 11.41
Rank by index
33
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
241
In: 179
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.026.13+0.1137
Strategic Infrastructure10.4610.45−0.0145
National Security7.417.41−0.0036
Human Capital14.2814.28−0.0033
Information & Influence12.1012.91+0.8144
Governance & Integrity15.2415.24−0.0014
Financial Strength12.5912.58−0.0089
Production & Innovation12.4612.45−0.0165
Trade & Investment12.1312.12−0.0078

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 379, plus 179 carried in. Maintenance 260. Spent 57 on actions (buy 57). 241 carried over.

  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance11 credits for 1.01 levelscmaes
  • BuyDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks11 credits for 0.67 levelscmaes
  • BuyCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy11 credits for 0.76 levelscmaes
  • BuyInformation Environment & Strategic Communication11 credits for 0.57 levelscmaes
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing11 credits for 1.09 levelscmaes
The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+1.27+1.270.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.13+1.120.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.09+1.090.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.98+1.010.000.00−0.02
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.95+0.950.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.56+0.540.000.00+0.02