Round 3 · simulation 2 · cmaes-dev.dev-est-cmaes-receding

Round 2029

Round 3 of 4 in simulation 2 of Estonia, evolution strategy, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.097 to 11.41.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.41 (+0.097)
In: 11.31
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
188
In: 123
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.006.02+0.0277
Strategic Infrastructure10.4610.460.0005
National Security7.417.410.0006
Human Capital14.2814.280.0003
Information & Influence11.2212.10+0.8815 → 4
Governance & Integrity15.2515.24−0.0034
Financial Strength12.6112.59−0.0259
Production & Innovation12.4712.46−0.0065
Trade & Investment12.1312.13+0.0028

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 380, plus 123 carried in. Maintenance 257. Spent 58 on actions (buy 12, partner 46). 188 carried over.

  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation12 credits for 1.07 levelscmaes
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks12 credits for 0.90 levelscmaes
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 1.14 levelscmaes
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy12 credits for 1.02 levelscmaes
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication11 credits for 0.76 levelscmaes

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.46+1.480.000.00−0.02
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.11+1.100.000.00+0.01
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+1.02+1.020.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.91+0.910.000.000.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.77+0.770.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.270.000.000.00+0.27