Round 2028
Round 2 of 4 in simulation 2 of Estonia, tree search, 4 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.241 to 11.31.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.31 (−0.241)
- In: 11.55
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 133
- In: 64
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.22 | 6.71 | +0.496 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.86 | 10.46 | −0.398 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.54 | 7.41 | −0.131 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.56 | 14.28 | −0.273 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.69 | 10.29 | −0.407 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.25 | −0.212 | 3 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 13.08 | 12.64 | −0.442 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.92 | 12.59 | −0.333 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.60 | 12.13 | −0.466 | 6 → 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 395, plus 64 carried in. Maintenance 268. Spent 59 on actions (buy 47, partner 12). 133 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Artificial Intelligence by 8 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence12 credits for 1.18 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Energy Technologies by 5 per cent
- BuyEnergy Technologies12 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 2 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing12 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −21.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.53 | +1.59 | 0.00 | −0.06 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +1.11 | +1.21 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Energy Technologies | +1.05 | +1.24 | 0.00 | −0.19 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.99 | +1.18 | 0.00 | −0.19 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.93 | +0.99 | 0.00 | −0.07 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.82 | 0.00 |