Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index 0.000 to 12.04.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.04 (0.000)
- In: 12.04
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 158
- In: 135
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.57 | 9.62 | +0.048 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.09 | 13.06 | −0.026 | 3 |
| National Security | 8.78 | 8.79 | +0.010 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.95 | 14.97 | +0.023 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.30 | 12.34 | +0.034 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.68 | 11.59 | −0.084 | 9 → 10 |
| Financial Strength | 13.13 | 13.01 | −0.121 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.17 | 12.07 | −0.101 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.69 | 12.91 | +0.221 | 6 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 411, plus 135 carried in. Maintenance 286. Spent 102 on actions (build 20, buy 20, partner 61). 158 carried over.
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence20 credits for 1.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.60 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.15 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation20 credits for 1.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics20 credits for 1.60 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −20.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.46 | +1.60 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +1.46 | +1.61 | 0.00 | −0.13 | −0.01 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.80 | +0.86 | 0.00 | −0.13 | +0.07 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.78 | +0.91 | 0.00 | −0.12 | −0.01 |
| Advanced Education | +0.55 | +0.68 | 0.00 | −0.14 | +0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.27 | +0.02 |