Round 10 · simulation 10 · cycle-001.e3-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Middle East settlement, and the index +0.034 to 12.07.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.07 (+0.034)
In: 12.04
Rank by index
29
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
118
In: 150
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.629.51−0.1055
Strategic Infrastructure13.0613.07+0.0083
National Security8.798.83+0.0385
Human Capital14.9715.00+0.0291
Information & Influence12.3412.39+0.0575 → 4
Governance & Integrity11.5911.54−0.05310
Financial Strength13.0112.94−0.0629
Production & Innovation12.0711.98−0.0845
Trade & Investment12.9113.39+0.4765

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 358, plus 150 carried in. Maintenance 287. Spent 103 on actions (build 21, partner 82). 118 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance21 credits for 0.78 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 1 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education21 credits for 1.13 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection21 credits for 1.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access21 credits for 1.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & Services Trade by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade21 credits for 1.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +3.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.83+0.910.00−0.070.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.76+0.880.00−0.120.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.76+0.860.00−0.12+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.68+0.800.00−0.120.00
Digital & Services Trade+0.63+0.850.00−0.26+0.04
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.61+0.740.00−0.12−0.01