Round 1 · simulation 21 · cycle-001.e3-bra-hold

Round 2027

Round 1 of 20 in simulation 21 of Brazil, hold, 20 years: 0 actions, Chronic disease advance, and the index +0.043 to 11.73.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.73 (+0.043)
In: 11.69
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
111
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.959.02+0.0636
Strategic Infrastructure13.8013.84+0.0343
National Security9.429.420.0005
Human Capital11.8811.94+0.0647
Information & Influence11.8611.89+0.0295
Governance & Integrity12.1112.19+0.0719
Financial Strength13.1313.19+0.0679
Production & Innovation11.8811.91+0.0298 → 6
Trade & Investment12.1812.21+0.0287

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2027: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 386. Maintenance 275. Nothing spent on actions. 111 carried over.

  • Upside event: Chronic disease advance S19. +15.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 8 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2027, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls+0.120.000.00+0.120.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.120.000.00+0.120.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+0.120.000.00+0.120.00
Health System Capability+0.120.000.00+0.120.00
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.120.000.00+0.120.00
Social Infrastructure+0.060.000.00+0.060.00