Round 2 · simulation 21 · cycle-001.e3-bra-hold

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 21 of Brazil, hold, 20 years: 0 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.269 to 11.46.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index: 11.46 (−0.269); In: 11.73
Rank by index: 34; In: 30
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 240; In: 106

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	9.02	8.87	−0.147	6
Strategic Infrastructure	13.84	13.67	−0.169	3
National Security	9.42	9.42	0.000	5
Human Capital	11.94	11.86	−0.087	7
Information & Influence	11.89	11.72	−0.176	5
Governance & Integrity	12.19	12.02	−0.166	9
Financial Strength	13.19	12.52	−0.676	9 → 10
Production & Innovation	11.91	11.43	−0.484	6 → 8
Trade & Investment	12.21	11.69	−0.515	7 → 8

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 412, plus 106 carried in. Maintenance 277. Nothing spent on actions. 240 carried over.

Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −20.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Events
Investment Attraction & Projection	−0.92	−0.92
Labour & Employment	−0.78	−0.78
Economic Output & Productivity	−0.77	−0.77
Financial Regulation & Integrity	−0.76	−0.76
Financial Stability & Crisis Management	−0.75	−0.75
Financial System Depth & Access	−0.74	−0.74