Round 5 · simulation 100 · cycle-001.e3-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 100 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.245 to 11.60.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.60 (−0.245)
In: 11.84
Rank by index
32
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
134
In: 107
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.407.70+0.2976
Strategic Infrastructure10.9310.80−0.1275
National Security7.557.59+0.0346
Human Capital15.0315.07+0.0432
Information & Influence11.2311.10−0.1276
Governance & Integrity15.4615.19−0.2713 → 5
Financial Strength13.1412.22−0.9168 → 9
Production & Innovation13.1612.53−0.6335
Trade & Investment12.6812.17−0.5016 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 369, plus 107 carried in. Maintenance 250. Spent 92 on actions (buy 74, partner 18). 134 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.38 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access18 credits for 1.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing18 credits for 1.87 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 1 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation18 credits for 1.92 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure18 credits for 1.24 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −25.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.74+1.920.00−0.28+0.10
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.60+1.870.00−0.280.00
Investment Attraction & Projection−1.190.000.00−1.190.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.17+1.310.00−0.140.00
Economic Output & Productivity−1.080.000.00−1.080.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+1.04+1.260.00−0.26+0.05