Round 6 · simulation 100 · cycle-001.e3-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 100 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.114 to 11.71.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.71 (+0.114)
In: 11.60
Rank by index
30
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
132
In: 127
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.707.79+0.0946
Strategic Infrastructure10.8010.88+0.0745
National Security7.597.64+0.0586
Human Capital15.0715.25+0.1802 → 1
Information & Influence11.1011.27+0.1666
Governance & Integrity15.1915.19−0.0015
Financial Strength12.2212.17−0.0559 → 10
Production & Innovation12.5312.67+0.1425
Trade & Investment12.1712.55+0.3727 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 340, plus 127 carried in. Maintenance 243. Spent 92 on actions (buy 19, partner 74). 132 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 1.10 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 1.64 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 6 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.26 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.77 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.84 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy by 2 per cent

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.81+1.790.000.00+0.02
Economic Output & Productivity+1.10+1.100.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.97+0.970.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.94+0.920.000.00+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.76+0.820.000.00−0.06
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.70+0.620.000.00+0.08