Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 100 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock and Chronic disease advance, and the index −0.020 to 11.99.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.99 (−0.020)
- In: 12.01
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 159
- In: 147
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.62 | 8.96 | +0.341 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.88 | 10.84 | −0.045 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.75 | 7.78 | +0.033 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.46 | 15.38 | −0.078 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.95 | 11.89 | −0.053 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.18 | 15.14 | −0.041 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 12.21 | 12.08 | −0.121 | 9 → 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.80 | 12.78 | −0.021 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.24 | 13.04 | −0.195 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 367, plus 147 carried in. Maintenance 265. Spent 91 on actions (buy 73, partner 18). 159 carried over.
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks18 credits for 1.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity18 credits for 0.95 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation18 credits for 1.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence18 credits for 1.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Biotechnology & Health Technologies by 1 per cent
- BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies18 credits for 1.63 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 1 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −32.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Upside event: Chronic disease advance S19. +16.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.61 | +1.69 | 0.00 | −0.15 | +0.07 |
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +1.56 | +1.63 | 0.00 | −0.06 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.23 | +1.53 | 0.00 | −0.33 | +0.03 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.77 | +0.95 | 0.00 | −0.17 | −0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.53 | +0.65 | 0.00 | −0.15 | +0.03 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.37 | 0.00 |