Round 10 · simulation 100 · cycle-001.e3-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 100 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.266 to 11.72.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.72 (−0.266)
In: 11.99
Rank by index
30
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
141
In: 151
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.968.79−0.1745
Strategic Infrastructure10.8410.54−0.2965
National Security7.787.70−0.0876
Human Capital15.3815.14−0.2411
Information & Influence11.8911.63−0.2655 → 6
Governance & Integrity15.1414.95−0.1905
Financial Strength12.0811.64−0.44710 → 11
Production & Innovation12.7812.60−0.1855
Trade & Investment13.0412.53−0.5115 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 348, plus 151 carried in. Maintenance 266. Spent 92 on actions (build 18, buy 55, partner 18). 141 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.17 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 1 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education18 credits for 1.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks18 credits for 1.27 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure18 credits for 1.11 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion18 credits for 1.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −16.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 6; Financial Strength Tier 10 to 11; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.13+1.480.00−0.37+0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.78+1.170.00−0.390.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.760.000.00−0.74−0.01
Digital & Services Trade−0.650.000.00−0.650.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.64+1.290.00−0.67+0.02
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.610.000.00−0.60−0.01