Round 11 · simulation 100 · cycle-001.e3-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 100 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.205 to 11.52.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.52 (−0.206)
In: 11.72
Rank by index
32
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 1
Credits carried
126
In: 134
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.798.49−0.2995
Strategic Infrastructure10.5410.48−0.0615
National Security7.707.65−0.0466
Human Capital15.1415.03−0.1131 → 2
Information & Influence11.6311.58−0.0496 → 5
Governance & Integrity14.9514.80−0.1485
Financial Strength11.6411.26−0.37811 → 13
Production & Innovation12.6012.21−0.3885
Trade & Investment12.5312.16−0.3666 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 335, plus 134 carried in. Maintenance 256. Spent 87 on actions (buy 17, partner 70). 126 carried over.

  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics17 credits for 1.43 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 2 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies17 credits for 1.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication17 credits for 1.40 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation17 credits for 1.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy by 1 per cent
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy17 credits for 1.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −40.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 1 to 2; Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 11 to 13; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.12+1.540.00−0.420.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing−0.790.000.00−0.790.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing−0.660.000.00−0.660.00
Global Value Chain Position−0.660.000.00−0.62−0.04
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.620.000.00−0.63+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access−0.600.000.00−0.64+0.03