Round 15 · simulation 11 · cycle-001.e3-est-hold

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 11 of Estonia, hold, 20 years: 0 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.416 to 9.87.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index: 9.87 (−0.416); In: 10.28
Rank by index: 48; In: 44
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 1,112; In: 1,004

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	5.04	4.68	−0.360	7
Strategic Infrastructure	9.46	8.77	−0.686	5 → 6
National Security	6.39	5.59	−0.800	6 → 7
Human Capital	13.95	13.94	−0.012	3
Information & Influence	9.55	8.73	−0.823	6 → 7
Governance & Integrity	14.72	14.31	−0.407	5 → 6
Financial Strength	11.52	11.52	−0.003	11
Production & Innovation	11.40	11.11	−0.297	6
Trade & Investment	10.51	10.16	−0.356	9 → 10

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 299, plus 1,004 carried in. Maintenance 191. Nothing spent on actions. 1,112 carried over.

Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −31.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 5 to 6; National Security Tier 6 to 7; Information & Influence Tier 6 to 7; Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 6; Trade & Investment Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Events	Graph
Maritime Power	−1.39	−1.38	−0.01
Intelligence & Assessment	−1.27	−1.26	−0.01
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations	−1.26	−1.26	0.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication	−1.22	−1.21	−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation	−1.20	−1.19	−0.01
Energy Infrastructure	−1.17	−1.17	0.00