Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 11 of Estonia, hold, 20 years: 0 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.328 to 9.54.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 9.54 (−0.328)
- In: 9.87
- Rank by index
- 50
- In: 48
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 1,177
- In: 1,057
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.68 | 4.48 | −0.205 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 8.77 | 8.35 | −0.420 | 6 → 7 |
| National Security | 5.59 | 5.41 | −0.173 | 7 |
| Human Capital | 13.94 | 13.67 | −0.274 | 3 → 5 |
| Information & Influence | 8.73 | 8.32 | −0.409 | 7 → 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 14.31 | 14.10 | −0.209 | 6 |
| Financial Strength | 11.52 | 11.06 | −0.464 | 11 → 14 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.11 | 10.77 | −0.338 | 6 → 7 |
| Trade & Investment | 10.16 | 9.69 | −0.464 | 10 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 295, plus 1,057 carried in. Maintenance 175. Nothing spent on actions. 1,177 carried over.
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −22.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 6 to 7; Human Capital Tier 3 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 7 to 8; Financial Strength Tier 11 to 14; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.79 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.66 | −0.05 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.70 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.67 | 0.00 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.66 | 0.00 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.64 | −0.01 |