Round 1 · simulation 11 · cycle-001.e3-est-random

Round 2027

Round 1 of 20 in simulation 11 of Estonia, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.218 to 11.27.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.27 (−0.217)
In: 11.49
Rank by index
34
In: 33
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
63
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.005.98−0.0167
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.49−0.3745
National Security7.547.40−0.1416
Human Capital14.5614.36−0.2003
Information & Influence10.4810.41−0.0736
Governance & Integrity15.4615.29−0.1683 → 4
Financial Strength13.0812.74−0.3339
Production & Innovation12.8112.53−0.2785
Trade & Investment12.6012.22−0.3776 → 8

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2027: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 347. Maintenance 236. Spent 49 on actions (build 45, buy 4). 63 carried over.

  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power4 credits for 0.27 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation4 credits for 0.13 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildNuclear Deterrence7 credits for 0.15 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildBusiness Dynamism & Entrepreneurship17 credits for 0.75 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy17 credits for 1.30 levelsrandom_draw
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −16.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2027, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.660.000.00−0.660.00
Financial System Depth & Access−0.580.000.00−0.580.00
Industrial & Sectoral Base−0.560.000.00−0.560.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.550.000.00−0.550.00
Energy Infrastructure−0.550.000.00−0.550.00
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.530.000.00−0.530.00