Round 9 · simulation 11 · cycle-001.e3-est-random

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 11 of Estonia, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.473 to 10.58.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.58 (−0.473)
In: 11.05
Rank by index
42
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
483
In: 411
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.715.39−0.3177
Strategic Infrastructure10.329.68−0.6425
National Security7.296.60−0.6836
Human Capital14.3514.21−0.1423
Information & Influence10.4110.16−0.2556
Governance & Integrity15.1314.82−0.3055
Financial Strength12.3811.76−0.6189 → 11
Production & Innovation12.2211.71−0.5175 → 6
Trade & Investment11.6610.88−0.7808 → 9

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 323, plus 411 carried in. Maintenance 219. Spent 32 on actions (build 23, buy 10). 483 carried over.

  • BuildForce Generation & Mobilisation16 credits for 0.48 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildInvestment Attraction & Projection3 credits for 0.22 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyResource Infrastructure7 credits for 0.45 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy3 credits for 0.24 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuySpace Operations3 credits for 0.27 levelsrandom_draw
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −35.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 11; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 6; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.260.000.00−1.24−0.02
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−1.240.000.00−1.21−0.03
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.240.000.00−1.23−0.01
Maritime Power−1.210.000.00−1.210.00
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−1.04+0.120.00−1.16+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.030.000.00−1.02−0.01