Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 22 of Estonia, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.374 to 11.24.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.24 (−0.374)
- In: 11.62
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 445
- In: 393
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.11 | 5.76 | −0.355 | 6 → 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.97 | 10.36 | −0.608 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.69 | 6.93 | −0.760 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.80 | 14.93 | +0.125 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 10.16 | 9.36 | −0.808 | 6 → 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.65 | 15.26 | −0.398 | 3 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.42 | 13.42 | +0.003 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.79 | 12.55 | −0.242 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.94 | 12.61 | −0.323 | 5 → 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 341, plus 393 carried in. Maintenance 242. Spent 48 on actions (build 24, buy 24). 445 carried over.
- BuildForce Generation & Mobilisation3 credits for 0.10 levelsrandom_draw
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation7 credits for 0.38 levelsrandom_draw
- BuildHealth System Capability17 credits for 0.63 levelsrandom_draw
- BuyEnergy Infrastructure17 credits for 1.01 levelsrandom_draw
- BuildGlobal Value Chain Position3 credits for 0.19 levelsrandom_draw
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −31.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 7; Information & Influence Tier 6 to 7; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maritime Power | −1.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.38 | +0.01 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.25 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.25 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.20 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.17 | 0.00 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | −1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.08 | +0.01 |