Round 16 · simulation 22 · cycle-001.e3-est-random

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 22 of Estonia, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.186 to 11.23.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.23 (−0.186)
In: 11.41
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
741
In: 655
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.036.03+0.0016
Strategic Infrastructure10.4910.16−0.3275
National Security6.996.88−0.1146
Human Capital15.3715.25−0.1182
Information & Influence9.549.41−0.1357
Governance & Integrity15.2615.12−0.1454 → 5
Financial Strength13.5613.21−0.3468
Production & Innovation12.7212.44−0.2785
Trade & Investment12.7412.53−0.2126

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 348, plus 655 carried in. Maintenance 231. Spent 31 on actions (build 24, buy 7). 741 carried over.

  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights7 credits for 0.29 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildEconomic Leverage & Dependence7 credits for 0.40 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildResource Infrastructure7 credits for 0.37 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildMaritime Power4 credits for 0.17 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.27 levelsrandom_draw
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −15.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.610.000.00−0.610.00
Financial System Depth & Access−0.530.000.00−0.530.00
Energy Infrastructure−0.530.000.00−0.530.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.500.000.00−0.500.00
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.490.000.00−0.490.00
Industrial & Sectoral Base−0.490.000.00−0.50+0.01