Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 80 of Estonia, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion and Chronic disease advance, and the index −0.289 to 11.29.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.29 (−0.289)
- In: 11.57
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 238
- In: 206
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.09 | 5.86 | −0.230 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.91 | 10.36 | −0.554 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.57 | 6.91 | −0.657 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.63 | 14.72 | +0.093 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.77 | 10.06 | −0.710 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.25 | −0.210 | 3 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.08 | 13.13 | +0.056 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.02 | 12.91 | −0.101 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.65 | 12.36 | −0.289 | 6 → 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 347, plus 206 carried in. Maintenance 239. Spent 76 on actions (build 17, buy 42, partner 17). 238 carried over.
- BuyInternal Security & Order17 credits for 0.72 levelsrandom_draw
- BuyAdvanced Manufacturing7 credits for 0.38 levelsrandom_draw
- BuyInnovation & Commercialisation17 credits for 0.86 levelsrandom_draw
- PartnerMaritime Power17 credits for 1.05 levelsrandom_draw
- BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation17 credits for 0.81 levelsrandom_draw
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −28.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Upside event: Chronic disease advance S19. +12.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intelligence & Assessment | −1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.13 | +0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.06 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.05 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −1.02 | +0.11 | 0.00 | −1.13 | 0.00 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −0.93 | +0.08 | 0.00 | −1.01 | 0.00 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | −0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.92 | 0.00 |