Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 18 of United Kingdom, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.067 to 16.97.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.97 (−0.067)
- In: 17.04
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 5
- Credits carried
- 387
- In: 356
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.18 | 16.00 | −0.189 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.27 | 15.88 | −0.398 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.49 | 16.02 | −0.471 | 2 → 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.52 | 18.61 | +0.084 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.40 | 16.94 | −0.466 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.74 | 16.50 | −0.242 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.55 | 17.68 | +0.131 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.55 | 16.61 | +0.054 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.62 | 18.51 | +0.890 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 982, plus 356 carried in. Maintenance 704. Spent 246 on actions (build 98, partner 147). 387 carried over.
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity49 credits for 1.89 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 10 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection49 credits for 2.22 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Early Childhood Development by 4 per cent
- BuildEarly Childhood Development49 credits for 2.36 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics49 credits for 2.22 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication49 credits for 2.17 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 5 per cent
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −18.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. National Security Tier 2 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +2.29 | +2.50 | 0.00 | −0.21 | +0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.32 | +1.34 | 0.00 | −0.17 | +0.15 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.29 | +1.45 | 0.00 | −0.21 | +0.06 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +1.19 | +1.36 | 0.00 | −0.21 | +0.04 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.93 | +1.11 | 0.00 | −0.21 | +0.02 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.91 | +1.11 | 0.00 | −0.21 | +0.01 |