Round 4 · simulation 18 · cycle-001.e3-gbr-greedy-marginal

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 18 of United Kingdom, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.209 to 17.04.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.04 (+0.209)
In: 16.83
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 4
Credits carried
374
In: 297
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1816.18+0.0073
Strategic Infrastructure16.1916.27+0.0832
National Security16.4216.49+0.0702
Human Capital18.0618.52+0.4581
Information & Influence17.3217.40+0.0852
Governance & Integrity16.6516.74+0.0871
Financial Strength17.4217.55+0.1321
Production & Innovation16.4216.55+0.1361
Trade & Investment16.8017.62+0.8222 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 983, plus 297 carried in. Maintenance 660. Spent 245 on actions (build 49, partner 196). 374 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity49 credits for 2.13 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 8 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication49 credits for 2.84 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 3 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position49 credits for 2.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 2 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence49 credits for 2.90 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance49 credits for 1.18 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +3.7 points this round.

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.49+1.450.00+0.030.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+1.46+1.420.00+0.03+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+1.42+1.360.00+0.03+0.03
Foundational Education+1.36+1.330.00+0.030.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.29+1.400.00+0.030.00
Advanced Education+0.77+0.740.00+0.030.00