Round 8 · simulation 10 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-10y

Round 2034

Round 8 of 10 in simulation 10 of Kenya, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.042 to 6.15.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.15 (+0.042)
In: 6.11
Rank by index
94
In: 95
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.013.09+0.0739 → 8
Strategic Infrastructure5.885.88−0.0109
National Security3.503.50−0.00610
Human Capital6.996.98−0.01412
Information & Influence7.347.40+0.0639
Governance & Integrity7.867.85−0.01116
Financial Strength7.027.01−0.00322
Production & Innovation6.466.55+0.09117 → 16
Trade & Investment6.897.08+0.19714 → 13

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 115, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 87. Spent 29 on actions (buy 11, partner 17). 1 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 6 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion6 credits for 0.70 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection6 credits for 0.66 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8; Production & Innovation Tier 17 to 16; Trade & Investment Tier 14 to 13.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.67+0.700.000.00−0.03
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.66+0.670.000.00−0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.58+0.590.000.00−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.37+0.380.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.37+0.380.000.00−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.34+0.340.000.00−0.01