Round 2035
Round 9 of 10 in simulation 10 of Kenya, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.073 to 6.08.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.08 (−0.073)
- In: 6.15
- Rank by index
- 96
- In: 94
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 1
- In: 1
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.09 | 3.13 | +0.043 | 8 → 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.88 | 5.81 | −0.068 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.50 | 3.49 | −0.006 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 6.98 | 6.83 | −0.148 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.40 | 7.35 | −0.045 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.85 | 7.74 | −0.109 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.01 | 6.88 | −0.133 | 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.55 | 6.39 | −0.159 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.08 | 7.05 | −0.030 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 117, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 88. Spent 29 on actions (buy 23, partner 6). 1 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 5 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing6 credits for 0.70 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.70 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.37 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance6 credits for 0.70 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −25.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 9.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.55 | +0.70 | 0.00 | −0.15 | −0.01 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.54 | +0.70 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.52 | +0.70 | 0.00 | −0.18 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.38 | +0.59 | 0.00 | −0.21 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.31 | −0.02 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.27 | +0.01 |